Indices

With markets hanging on every signal, Jackson Hole 2025 could set the tone for policy into year-end. If Powell leans towards viewing tariff-driven inflation as short-lived, a September cut remains likely. A stronger warning on persistence would push action back and test investor confidence. The labour-market narrative will shape how much policy flexibility the Fed…

The growing divergence between the LEI and CEI is flashing a classic recession warning, even as current data remains firm. If the CEI starts to turn lower, markets could quickly reprice for a slowdown. Equities remain vulnerable, especially given stretched valuations and limited risk pricing. Investors should monitor CEI closely over the coming months for…

US markets head into the second half of 2025 navigating a delicate balance between resilient economic data and lingering inflation risks. AI-driven tech stocks could fuel further gains, but rising tariffs and delayed Fed rate cuts pose headwinds. Investors may see a rangebound S&P 500 unless policy shifts or inflation eases meaningfully. The outlook favours…

The S&P 500 remains on a strong upward trajectory, supported by resilient economic data, easing inflation pressures, and favourable policy developments. With rate-cut expectations and fiscal stimulus boosting sentiment, the index could push towards 6,500 in the coming months. However, investor complacency is rising, and medium-term risks—such as renewed tariff tensions, slowing growth, and widening…

As global markets face a dynamic and uncertain future, understanding the interplay of tariffs, geopolitics, artificial intelligence (AI), and critical commodities like oil is essential for investors. In our latest webinar, we unpacked these transformative forces and their potential to redefine investment landscapes in the second half of 2025 and beyond. From AI’s continued influence…

Markets face growing uncertainty as trade tensions and mixed economic data cloud the outlook. Key upcoming releases, including the jobs report and ISM Services PMI, will be crucial in shaping market direction. The S&P 500’s ability to break resistance near 5,970 hinges on these signals. Investors must stay alert, as the path forward depends on…

A US court ruling striking down Trump-era tariffs has upended a key economic policy, casting doubt on trade talks and tax reform plans. With the administration appealing, legal uncertainty lingers. Markets rallied on the news, but lasting momentum may depend on a definitive resolution in the weeks ahead.

Growing US fiscal deficits and Moody’s recent downgrade have reignited bond market concerns, pushing Treasury yields higher and rattling equities. The Trump administration’s planned tax cuts risk worsening the budget strain, potentially triggering further market volatility. How the government responds will be key, with renewed bond market pressure possibly reshaping both fiscal policy and investment…

Looking ahead, attention will turn to how both sides use the 90-day window to build a more durable trade framework. Markets may stay volatile as investors assess the depth and sincerity of ongoing negotiations. Any signs of further cooperation—or renewed friction—will likely set the tone for the next leg in global risk sentiment.